NiMet Forecast Sparks Controversy: Thunderstorms and Heavy Rains to Batter Nigeria
The Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NiMet) has issued a dramatic weather forecast warning Nigerians to brace for widespread thunderstorms, heavy rainfall, and strong winds from Monday through Wednesday. The agency’s Sunday outlook, released in Abuja, paints a picture of volatile weather conditions across the northern, central, and southern regions of the country.
While NiMet’s forecast aims to prepare citizens, many question the agency’s ability to provide timely and accurate warnings.
Given Nigeria’s history of inadequate disaster preparedness and infrastructural failures during heavy rains.
Northern Nigeria: Thunderstorms and Early Morning Rains
NiMet predicts early morning thunderstorms with or without rainfall in key northern states including Sokoto, Kebbi, Zamfara, Taraba, Adamawa, and Kaduna on Monday.
The rest of the northern region is expected to experience sunny spells interrupted by cloud patches.
Afternoon and evening hours will see intensified thunderstorms with rains across Adamawa, Taraba, Borno, Jigawa, Yobe, Kano, Katsina, Gombe, Sokoto, Kebbi, Zamfara, and Kaduna.
This pattern will persist through Tuesday and Wednesday, with some states like Zamfara and Borno facing heavy downpours by midweek.
Such forecasts raise concerns about the readiness of northern states, many of which lack adequate drainage and flood control systems.
NiMet thunderstorms forecast Nigeria to handle potential flash floods and wind damage.
Central Region: Morning Rains and Isolated Thunderstorms
In the North Central region, including the Federal Capital Territory (FCT), NiMet forecasts morning rains and isolated thunderstorms throughout the three days.
Monday’s early thunderstorms are expected in Niger, Plateau, and FCT, with afternoon storms spreading to Benue, Nasarawa, Kogi, and parts of the FCT.
The continuation of moderate rains and thunderstorms through Tuesday and Wednesday over Kogi, Benue, Plateau, Nasarawa.
And FCT highlights a persistent threat to these areas.
Yet, the government’s track record on urban flood management remains dismal, leaving residents vulnerable.
Southern Nigeria: Light Rains to Thunderstorms A Brewing Disaster
NiMet projects light morning rains in Ogun, Lagos, Cross River, and Akwa Ibom on Monday.
Escalating to thunderstorms and light rains across Ondo, Oyo, Imo, Ebonyi, Enugu, Anambra, Abia, Edo, Delta, Rivers, Bayelsa, and other coastal states by afternoon.
From Tuesday to Wednesday, Akwa Ibom and Cross River will continue to experience morning rains, with scattered thunderstorms likely across the entire southern region.
This forecast is a stark reminder of the annual flooding crises that plague southern Nigeria.
Despite repeated warnings, poor urban planning and clogged drainage systems have consistently turned rains into disasters, causing loss of lives and property.
NiMet’s Caution: Strong Winds and Safety Precautions
NiMet warns that strong winds may precede thunderstorms, urging Nigerians to take precautions.
The agency advises against driving during heavy rains, recommends disconnecting electrical appliances.
And cautions people to avoid tall trees to prevent injuries from falling branches.
While these warnings are standard, the question remains: how effectively are these advisories communicated and enforced?
Nigeria’s poor infrastructure and limited public awareness campaigns often render such warnings ineffective.
Airline Operators and Public: Are They Really Prepared
NiMet calls on airline operators to obtain airport-specific weather reports for better operational planning.
The agency also urges residents to stay updated via its website.
However, the aviation sector in Nigeria has faced criticism for inadequate response to weather disruptions.
Delays, cancellations, and safety concerns during rainy seasons are common, reflecting systemic weaknesses.
Controversy: NiMet’s Forecast vs. Nigeria’s Disaster Reality
The agency’s warnings are often undermined by poor government response, lack of emergency infrastructure, and political neglect.
Heavy rains and thunderstorms are predictable seasonal events, yet every year, Nigerians suffer avoidable losses.
The question is not just about forecasting but about accountability and action.
